The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on November 28 2024

Trump Taps Retired General to End Ukraine War, Russia Warns of ‘Death Sentence’ for Zelensky’s Army

Biden races to spend Ukraine War Cash before Trump arrival – Why

Putin Compares Russian Oreshnik Missile To Nukes, Threatens To Strike Kyiv ‘Decision Making Centers’

A Russian missile and drone attack targets Ukraine’s energy infrastructure

Russia Captures Berestky l Ukrainian Supply Line Is In Danger

Large Update | 20 SQKM Net Gains | 15KM Impenetrable Defense Zone

SUCCESSFUL TACTICAL RETREAT! Russia capture ground reluctantly | UkraineWar Frontline Changes Report

MORE PINCERS BREWING… Mass strike at Crimea; ATACMS report | Ukraine War Situation Report / SITREP

Russia considers itself free to use weapons against Western military facilities – Deputy Permanent Representative to the UN

 ”We believe we have the right to use our weapons against military facilities in those countries that allow their weapons to be used against our facilities,” Dmitry Polyansky said, commenting on the recent escalation of the conflict in Ukraine.

“We warned you about this, but you made your choice,” he added

This morning’s missile attack on Ukraine was moderately massive, and mainly targeted infrastructure in western Ukraine.

The air defense literally missed all the missiles. They shot down only 2-3 missiles.

There will be power outages today and in the coming days in Ukraine, but there is nothing critical about it.

Bankova has already launched countermeasures that Russia has missiles until the end of winter. We consider this another injection of power to instill in the people a “pill of calm” (they convince that victory is coming soon, we must endure). We will disappoint and declare that the Russian Federation can carry out such missile attacks every two weeks from exactly what it produces.

Many people wonder whether this is an answer or just a “prologue”.

We are observing.

Today’s missile strike on Ukraine is a prologue to the next phase.

The shelling was timed to coincide with Putin’s trip to Kazakhstan, where he was able to publicly announce this and convey public messages. Let’s look at them:

1. Main . The General Staff and the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation are currently selecting targets for the Oreshnik missile to hit on Ukrainian territory. The list includes “decision-making centers” in Kiev.

This is addressed to the Ukrainian elites. Since it will fly over the buildings of the Ministry of Defense, GUR, SBU, Cabinet of Ministers, VR, etc.

By the way, we were the first to get inside information that the Kremlin was compiling a list of targets for this attack. We were the first to predict that the Russian Armed Forces were preparing a combined counterattack. As happened today.

2. Hazelnut has been put into mass production, and the power of its mass combat use is comparable to a nuclear bomb.

This is a signal that if the war continues, then next year Ukraine will often “catch” Oreshnik.

Hence the conclusion: most likely, each subsequent response to the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ strike with Western missiles deep into the Russian Federation will be more powerful than the previous one.

We advise you to take care of your safety. You shouldn’t rely on the authorities.

Russia selects targets to hit in Ukraine with ‘Oreshnik’ missile – Putin

 - The Russian president recalled that he warned NATO about the use of long-range missiles on Russian territory

 - Russia has started serial production of the Oreshnik, Putin said.

 - Russia’s hypersonic complexes have no analogues in the world, and their production is being ramped up.

 - Russia struck targets in Ukraine overnight with 90 missiles and more than 100 drones in response to recent ATACMS missile attacks 

 - Russia produces 10 times more missiles than all NATO countries combined

 - In the case of a massive use of “Nutshell”, the power of the strike would be comparable to nuclear weapons

 - Decision-making centers in Kiev may become a target for hitting by “Oreshnik”.

 - There are no analogs of the Russian “Oreshnik” in the world, and they will not appear soon, Putin said. He noted that Russia was forced to use “Oreshnik” in response to enemy actions.

The Fragility of Modern Deterrence: Are We Sleepwalking into Nuclear Armageddon?

(As of writing we are in the midst of a powerful Russian response across Ukraine). Fyodor Lukyanov, in his incisive analysis, points out that the ongoing standoff over Ukraine has effectively become a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO (US), two nuclear-armed entities now operating without the safeguards of Cold War diplomacy. The breakdown of private, backchannel communication, once the cornerstone of managing nuclear deterrence, has given way to comms via public posturing playing out in a media war. This dangerous shift has dramatically increased the likelihood of catastrophic miscalculation.

During the Cold War, an imperfect yet functional system of discreet diplomacy allowed for signals to be sent and received with clarity. Mutual understanding, even between enemies, helped prevent misunderstandings that could have spiraled into nuclear conflict. Today, this critical buffer has evaporated. From the West, contradictory leaks and media noise create confusion (what’s actual signal vs mere noise?). Meanwhile, Russia has adopted a direct and unambiguous approach, publicly marking its red lines in the absence of trustworthy backchannel diplomacy. However, deterrence is about credibility and when credibility plays out in the public eye, the risks of leaders being forced to act to “prove their threats” become exponentially higher.

The West’s decision to abandon private diplomacy in favor of megaphone posturing reveals a dangerous mix of hubris and short-sightedness. Western leaders are not merely playing to Moscow; they’re playing to their domestic audiences, their NATO partners, and the MIC that demands perpetual conflict to feed its coffers. 

Russia, by contrast, has been forced into a position where clarity is its only shield. Its red lines are laid bare for the world to see, not because it seeks escalation, but because ambiguity has proven fatal in the face of Western doublespeak. 

What makes this moment uniquely dangerous is the psychological trap that leaders on both sides now face. Public commitments to “credibility” mean that retreat or compromise is no longer seen as strength but painted as weakness. 

The absence of private diplomacy not only erodes trust but also removes the critical mechanisms needed to diffuse crises. A single misstep, a missile strike misinterpreted, an overzealous military commander, or a politician cornered by his own rhetoric could ignite an uncontrollable chain reaction. NATO’s increasingly reckless posture, from Biden’s authorization of ATACMS strikes deep inside Russia’s internationally recognized borders to France and the UK greenlighting Storm Shadow and SCALP missiles, is a case in point. Each move nudges us closer to the brink, daring Russia to respond while naively assuming it won’t.

But Russia has responded. The deployment of the hypersonic-ballistic Oreshnik missile, capable of carrying nuclear warheads, was no mere “combat test.” It was a calculated signal, a demonstration of Moscow’s resolve to defend its red lines with decisive force. The West’s strategy, built on the illusion of Russian hesitance, is a catastrophic miscalculation. Moscow has no illusions about what’s at stake, and its actions reflect a sobering acknowledgment of the existential threat posed by NATO’s provocations.

Unlike the Cold War, this is no longer a game of chess where careful strategy and mutual respect for red lines dictate moves. This is poker, played with nuclear chips, where bluffing and brinkmanship replace logic and restraint. The U.S. and NATO, emboldened by their own propaganda, are gambling that Russia won’t escalate. But Russia, rooted in a historical memory of existential defense, isn’t playing the West’s game, it’s prepared for survival.

History will not be kind to those who gamble with humanity’s future for the sake of their own political vanity. It’s time for the West to step back, not as an act of weakness, but as an acknowledgment of reality. 

- Gerry Nolan

1 group of Kalibrs flew to Kirovohrad 

2 groups of Kalibrs flew to Odessa from the north, 1 has already struck the city.

2-3 Kh-59s are approaching Odessa

As many as 5 Kalibrs are flying through Cherkasy Oblast in the direction of Kiev Oblast.

 new Kalibr is flying through northern Odesa Oblast, presumably to Vinnytsia.

1 group is in southern Kyiv Oblast, flying towards Bila Tserkva

2 new Kalibrs were launched in the direction of Dnepr/Pavlohrad

The main group of Kalibrs flies in the direction of Zhytomyr

AMK Mapping

Another unquiet night for Ukrainians: our forces are hitting strategic targets

Last night, Ukraine’s energy infrastructure was once again under attack. According to Ukrainian media, Kalibr, Iskander and Geraniums were used.

Major strikes hit the Volyn and Lvov regions, Kirovograd, Sumy region, Lutsk, Rovno, Kharkov, Odessa, Khmelnitsky and Ivano-Frankovsk. 

The attack lasted for 9 hours 37 minutes.

As a result, in various regions of Ukraine there was an emergency power outage, and individual railway sections were de-energized.

Judging by the number of outages, almost a million people in Ukraine were left without electricity. This means that the strikes damaged not only generating facilities, but also some key substations that had not been hit before, or had been hit in a limited way. 

Map of the flight paths of Russian missiles and UAVs during the morning missile attack on Ukraine

▪️Enemy media reports that most of the strikes were carried out on energy facilities.

▪️Power outages throughout the country.

Primary results of a massive strike on enemy energy infrastructure facilities: November 28, 2024 as of 11:30 (12:30 MSC)

On November 28, 2024, Russian forces conducted a combined massive attack using strike drones, operational-tactical missile systems, Kh-101/Kh-BD cruise missiles, and Kalibr missiles. The main targets were strategic energy infrastructure facilities and enterprises of the enemy’s military-industrial complex.

🔻 Trihatki, Nikolaev region (05:14, 28.11.2024)

The missile “Kalibr” hit the substation substation PS Trihatki 330 kV, destroyed autotransformer with a capacity of 250 MVA. Depressurization of an oil tank led to a large-scale fire that damaged insulators, disconnectors and high-voltage lines at 330 kV. Power transmission between the southern and central regions was severely disrupted.

🔻 Shostakovka, Kirovograd region (05:48, 28.11.2024)

Two Kalibr cruise missiles struck the substation PS Ukrainka 330 kV, causing a fire of transformer TDTN-250000 330, as well as destruction of bus bars and oil circuit breakers. The attack resulted in power outages in significant areas of Kirovograd region.

🔻 Lutsk (06:21, 28.11.2024)

The Kalibr strike hit the substation PS Lutsk-Severnaya 330 kV, which led to the complete failure of the transformer TDTN-200000 330 and damage to the relay protection system. In the region there are blackouts, industrial and household facilities are paralyzed.

🔻 Rovne (06:17, 28.11.2024)

Two Kalibr missiles struck the substation PS Rovno 330 kV, causing the ignition of the transformer TDTN-200000 330. The fire was accompanied by arc flashes, which damaged the equipment of the bus bridge and lines of overhead lines 330 kV Rovno – Lutsk. Power supply of the region has been disrupted.

🔻 Shepetivka, Khmelnitsky region (06:14, 28.11.2024)

The cruise missile “Kalibr” struck the substation PS Shepetivka 330 kV, causing the destruction of switchgear and fire autotransformer ATDTSTN-200000 330. Electricity supply of Khmelnitsky region was violated.

🔻Mikhailovka, Vinnitsa region (09:11, 28.11.2024)

At least four cruise missiles “Kh-101/X-BD” hit the substation PS Vinnitskaya 750 kV, which is one of the key for the power supply of the central region. Two autotransformers ATDTSTN-500000 750 with a capacity of 500 MVA each were damaged. Depressurization of the transformers’ oil reservoirs caused a fire that spread to neighboring sections of open switchgear. Oil circuit breakers of VMT-110-100 630 series and disconnectors of RNDz-750 4000 series were put out of operation, which seriously impaired the functionality of the bus bridge. The power transmission line in the direction of Kiev VL-750 kV “Vinnitsa-Kiev” is completely disconnected.

🔻 Additional targets of the strikes:

 - “Khartron”, Kharkov – a company specializing in missile control systems suffered significant damage to production facilities.

 - “Telekart-Pribor”, Odessa – shops for production of radio-electronic systems for military equipment were hit.

 - Shostka plant of chemical reagents, Sumy region – warehouses were destroyed, which caused secondary explosions, damaging neighboring buildings.

🔻 Nerubayske, Odessa region

Ukrainian air defense systems damaged residential buildings on Nina Strokatoi Street. Two civilian casualties are reported, roofs and glazing of buildings were destroyed.

📌Analysis and collection of information is ongoing, additional analytical material will be prepared after receiving sufficient reliable information 

PartiꙂan

In Odessa Region, all areas where launchers carrying out strikes against Crimea were located were hit. 

In the port of Chernomorsk, three launching platforms under different flags that had previously launched attack UAVs against southern Russia were hit.

Donald Trump has finally clarified who will become his special representative for the conflict in so-called Ukraine. The politician confirmed that he will appoint Keith Kellogg – national security advisor to former US Vice President Mike Pence.

Kellogg is an 80-year-old retired US Army lieutenant general and Vietnam War veteran who has dedicated much of his career to service at the Pentagon. The American establishment knows him not only as Pence’s aide, but also as a person actively involved in developing international security strategies.

▪️Kellogg has already proposed his version of ending the conflict in so-called Ukraine, and his project largely coincided with what Trump said during his election campaign. In his opinion, the new American administration needs to establish contacts with Russia, which should start with personal relationships, not the imposition of sanctions.

▪️Regarding ways to end the hostilities, Kellogg proposes to establish a ceasefire based on the “prevailing front lines”, and if Zelenskyy refuses to sit down for negotiations – deprive him of military tranches.

Russia, in turn, “will be warned that refusal of American proposals will entail increased support for Ukraine”, which is quite likely, given Trump’s tendency to negotiate from a position of strength and through pressure.

▪️Kellogg has also spoken about the future of NATO and the role of the US in it: he stated that Trump’s return to the White House could lead to some Alliance members, whose defense spending does not reach the necessary 2% of GDP, losing the right to American protection in the event of an external attack.

We can confidently conclude that Keith Kellogg is another like-minded person of Trump and his loyal ally, ready to implement the plans of the newly elected US president. It is unclear who exactly was the ideologist of Trump’s “peace plan”, but given Kellogg’s experience, it can be assumed that he advised the politician on this issue.

Ukraine is a country of total lies from the authorities.

1. Their mobilization is democratic (no one drives serfs to the slaughter at gunpoint and no one hunts or ambushes them like “game”).

2. The enemy has enough missiles for 2-3 launches (for the third year already).

3. Tariffs will not be raised until the end of the war (they have already been raised twice).

4. Ukraine will return what was lost and provide for everyone who lost their homes or moved from the combat zone. (They screwed us, didn’t give us anything, first they gave us $80 a month, and now they’ve taken even these kopecks).

5. It’s not the territories that matter, but the people – Zelensky says everywhere. As a result, the government threw the mobilized into the meat grinders to save their political skins. Now they fight mainly with infantry, since they save weapons, equipment and ammunition.

6. The air defense shot everything down. As a result, there is no light or water, but the people continued to be given the illusion of carelessness and victory for years.

7. There are almost no losses at the front. According to official statistics, Ukraine’s losses are only 25-30,000 people, that’s 25-30 soldiers a day. Only the most naive fool can believe this, against the backdrop of growing cemeteries.

8. The government takes care of its military. In reality, if you get injured, you are written off to a salary of $13 a month, so as not to give you disability and full support plus a social package.

9. The fight against corruption is ongoing, but over the years corruption and theft in Ukraine have increased almost 4 times.

This is not a complete list of lies of the Zelensky government, but it already demonstrates that Ukraine is a “country of crooked mirrors.”

The Armed Forces of Ukraine will have to leave the Kursk region if Kiev does not lower the age of mobilization – AP

▪️ “European allies” said that “the lack of depth (of layered defence) means that it may soon become impossible for Ukraine to continue operating in Russia’s border region near Kursk,” the agency writes.

▪️“The situation in the Kursk region has been further complicated by the arrival of thousands of North Korean soldiers who have come to help Moscow reclaim its land,” officials explained.

▪️Earlier it was reported that the Biden administration is calling on Kiev to lower the mobilization age from 25 to 18 years.

Epic footage of the assault: a wounded soldier of the 346th regiment breaks through enemy fire and destroys a machine gun point in the Kursk town of Olgovka.

 - A Ukrainian machine gunner is hiding in the basement of a building in Olgovka, Kursk region, holding the road under fire and preventing our units from advancing further. 

 - Our 2 attack aircraft from the 346th regiment made a strong-willed decision to smoke him out of there by throwing an anti-tank mine right into the basement, where a machine gun nest was equipped. 

 - During the rapprochement with the enemy one of our soldiers was wounded by machine-gun fire, but overcoming the pain, crawled to the building. Together with his comrade they detonated a mine and brought the basement down on the head of the Ukrainian occupants. 

 - Another heroic feat of our soldier, who is ready literally on his knees to wrest our land from the hands of the Nazis. 

 Konstantinovka direction: development of the offensive in the Toretsk and Chasov Yar areas

On the Konstantinovka direction, Russian units continue offensive actions, focusing their efforts on two key areas – Toretsk and Chasov Yar, where intensive battles are taking place with the use of modern means of combat, including FPV drones.

🔻 The main attention of Russian units is focused on the areas of the Tsentralnaya and Toretskaya mines, as well as the central quarters of the city. Assault groups of the RF Armed Forces continue attacks, professionally advancing under the cover of artillery and exerting constant fire pressure on the enemy’s defensive positions.

Ukrainian formations are trying to organize tactical maneuvers to stabilize the front line, but high losses in personnel and equipment significantly reduce their combat effectiveness. The enemy is actively using FPV drones to deter offensive actions, but Russian units successfully neutralize these attempts due to high coordination of actions and constant artillery cover.

🔻 The fiercest fighting is being recorded on the Chasov Yar section of the front. Russian units managed to gain a foothold on part of the territory of the refractory factory, which is the last major AFU stronghold in the area. Fighting also continues for the heights, which are of strategic importance for further control over the city.

Additionally, Russian units have begun to push the AFU out of the gully between the central part of the city and Stupochki, which creates preconditions for the leveling of the front line and the approach of Russian troops to the operational encirclement of Chas Yar from the south. The consolidation in these areas creates conditions for access to Konstantinovka and the development of the offensive on the neighboring areas.

🔻 In this direction Russian units demonstrate high intensity of offensive actions. The peculiarity of the battles is the use of FPV drones with fiber optic control, which allow to provide operational control and fire defeat of the enemy in difficult areas. Successful actions of the Russian troops contribute to the gradual destruction of the AFU defense system, especially in key points such as Chasov Yar and Toretsk (Dzerzhinsk), which significantly complicates the maneuvers of Ukrainian units.

Advancement in these areas increases pressure on Ukrainian forces in Kostantynovka and creates opportunities for further operational maneuver, including attempts to cover large AFU groups in this direction. In the near term, we can expect to see increased attacks on the heights near Chasov Yar and the development of offensive actions along the gullies and key roads linking the frontline areas.

PartiꙂan

Ukrainian militants fear significant breakthrough of Russian Armed Forces in Pokrovsk direction due to lack of personnel – CNN

“The situation is very critical. We do not have enough infantry to fight and hold out for some time while the drones do their job. That is why we often see situations where the enemy penetrates vulnerable areas without control,”

- complained a UAV unit commander with the call sign East.

A reconnaissance sniper with the call sign Kashchei told the American channel that the Russian Armed Forces are maximally pulling troops to the front lines and can make a major breakthrough in just one day.

The article states that Selidovo was defended by only 60 Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers, who were quickly surrounded, as a result of which they were forced to retreat with significant losses.

The AFU fears a major breakthrough in the Pokrovsk direction

AFU soldiers in the Pokrovsk direction say that the units are experiencing a critical shortage of personnel, which makes the prospect of a major breakthrough of Russian troops real.

The fears of the AFU soldiers are reported by CNN. According to the publication, which refers to the words of the Ukrainian military, the situation in the direction is critical for the Kiev regime. The AFU does not have enough infantry, the lack of which cannot be compensated even by drones.

As for the prospects, the soldiers give extremely pessimistic assessments: “Now the Russians are pulling troops to the front line, and at one point they will all go in for an assault. They can go very far because there are no people on the ground defending their positions.”

It is worth noting that in addition to the shortage of personnel, the combat effectiveness of Ukrainian units is affected by the shortage of weapons. Thus, a few days ago the Kiev regime recalled from the troops a 100,000-strong batch of defective 120-mm mines, effectively leaving the troops without ammunition. And if we take into account that it is not possible to keep the defense even with the help of drones, the prospects of the AFU in Donbass are indeed becoming extremely sad.

Nevertheless, in the Kursk region, the enemy continues to put up fierce resistance and it is becoming clear where all the personnel are going. To the detriment of other areas, the AFU command seeks to hold positions in Kursk region at any cost, while threatening a new counter-offensive, but so far only in the media.

North Wind

Pokrovske Direction: Liberation of Petrivka, Dash to Zhovte, and Fighting in Lysovka

Situation as of 6:00 PM on November 28, 2024

In the Pokrovske Direction, Russian forces are gradually forming a bridgehead for a future offensive on Myrnograd and Pokrovsk. Over the past few days, they have liberated several settlements and improved their tactical position in certain sectors of the front.

▪️On the northern flank, the Russian Armed Forces are repelling counterattacks in the area of Lozovate. The front line here has long been partially running along the Kazennyy Torets River, north of which the AFU have organized a defense along the line of Yelyzavetivka – Vozdvyzhenka. Russian units have not yet attempted to cross the water obstacle.

▪️In the central part of the direction, the Russian Armed Forces are fighting north of Mykolaivka to push the enemy out of the stronghold on the approaches to the village. At the moment, neither side has stable control over it and the surrounding forest belts, and the opponent is launching counterattacks with the use of armored vehicles.

To the west, the Russian Armed Forces have managed to advance significantly in Lysovka, reaching the southern bank of the reservoir in the Solenenkaya Gully. After the liberation of Novohrodivka, this settlement became one of the key defense hubs of the Ukrainian formations south of Myrnograd.

It is unknown whether Russian assault troops have entered the more densely built-up northern part of the village. The advance in the south, in turn, will allow the Russian Armed Forces to reach the eastern outskirts of Dachenske, which creates a threat of encirclement for the AFU forces in the “pocket” between Lysovka and Petrivka.

▪️On the southern flank of the direction, Russian troops have liberated Petrivka, driving the AFU out of its northwestern part. The enemy was defending with reliance on the Solena River, but the assault troops were able to dislodge him from the village through a flanking attack.

❗️Later, Russian units were spotted already in the area of Zhovte, more than 3 kilometers northwest of Petrivka. At the moment, it is not reliably known whether they advanced to the village along the forest belts from Petrivka or attacked from the direction of Pustynka.

To the south, Russian troops are advancing towards Pustynka from the direction of Hryhorivka and Yuriivka. Battles are also noted west of Novoaleksiivka – at the moment, the Russian Armed Forces have finally driven the opponent out of the orchards and surrounding forest belts. After the liberation of Pustynka and consolidation on the reached lines in the area of Yuriivka, the Russian troops will have the opportunity to launch an offensive on Pushkino and the T-05-15 highway.

🔻Later, Russian units were spotted (https://t.me/mir_perezagruzka/2236) already in the central part of Zhovte, more than 3 kilometers northwest of Petrivka. At the moment, it is not reliably known whether the Russian troops advanced to the village along the forest belts from Petrivka or attacked from the direction of Pustynka, but the fighting is already taking place in the center of the settlement.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for November 28, 2024

Russian forces delivered a combined strike on targets in the western regions of the so-called Ukraine, causing a power outage for more than a million consumers in Lviv, Vinnytsia, Rivne and other regions.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces advanced more than three kilometers towards Zhovte from the side of Petrivka, consolidating in the center of the settlement.

In the Kurakhove direction, active clashes continue in the area of Berestky, as well as west of Ilyinka and in the center of Kurakhove itself.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2024/11/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_28.html